I just spent two hours updating the website theme and cleaning up a little bit of the HTML code around here. I’ll do a site update post later on, so let me leave that alone. What I came to talk about is the new Quinnipiac polls out this morning which show Donald Trump doing quite well in some key battleground states. As you may or may not know, Quinnipiac is always one of the most respected polling outfits, so when they come out with some numbers they aren’t usually dismissed out of hand.


Trump is sitting at +5 in FL, +6 in PA, & +1 in Ohio.

Yes, all those numbers drop when Jill Stein and Gary Johnson are left out, but why the fuck should they be left out? They’ll be on the ballot in all 50 states and should be included in every poll going forward. This year those two are getting more buzz than usual, so expect their numbers to be a little beefed up. Whether they end up quite this high on election day remains to be seen, but they should do better than they normally would. Every survey shows both Clinton and Trump with sky-high negatives so you gotta figure they will benefit from that.

Oh, and that’s not the only bit of good news. Although it’s not as nice as the Quinnipiac polls cited above, the new McClatchy poll shows some encouraging signs as well, especially when you consider the dearth of good polling news for Trump when it comes to the national surveys…

Clinton, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, now leads Trump by 42 to 39 percent in a head-to-head matchup. While Republicans and Democrats are solidly behind their candidates, independents are divided, 36 percent for Clinton, 33 percent for Trump – and 23 percent undecided…

The poll found that Clinton is winning the support of 57 percent of voters who backed Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, her chief rival, who endorsed her Tuesday. Trump wins support from 60 percent of the Republicans who had backed other candidates…

That bottom number is starling if you’re Hillary Clinton. This poll was conducted before Bernie Sanders ended up endorsing the notoriously corrupt former Secretary of State, though.  If this holds and she ends up only taking 57-60% of Bernie supporters, that’s going to be a major problem going forward, so we’ll see if the endorsement helps. Trump has his own issues with wavering Republicans as well, but look for them to close ranks a ton after the GOP Convention. Who knows, maybe Bernie Bros will come home after the Democratic Convention the week after. Expect Sanders to get a plum speaking position and he will likely tear into Trump in a very vicious way.

The bottom line is, The Donald is rolling right now and external events favor him for the next couple weeks. He’s allegedly going to announce his running mate on Friday, which will give him a boost. Then we have the Republican convention. If he runs a good program through all this then I expect him to be looking even better.